In a welterweight bout on the main card, Francisco Trinaldo meets Dwight Grant Saturday at UFC Fight Night 196 – also known as UFC Vegas 41 and UFC on ESPN+ 54 – at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. Below, we analyze the UFC Fight Night 196 Trinaldo vs. Grant odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The card can be viewed on ESPN+ with the prelims at 1 p.m. ET and the main card at 4 p.m. ET.
Trinaldo is looking to bounce back from a unanimous-decision loss to Muslim Salikhov his last time out in June. That loss snapped a three-bout win streak. Trinaldo has gone the distance in four of his past five bouts.
Grant hits the octagon with three victories across his last four UFC fights, including a split-decision win over Stefan Sekulic at UFC 261 April 24. Three of his last five fights have gone the distance, all three resulting in split decisions.
Grant, a.k.a. “The Body Snatcher”, has a huge six-inch reach advantage and stands four inches taller than his Brazilian counterpart.
UFC Fight Night 196 Trinaldo vs. Grant: Odds and lines
- Fight result (2-way line) : Trinaldo -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Grant +117 (bet $100 to win $117)
- Over/Under : 2.5 rounds (Over -180 | Under +130)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -160 | No +115)
UFC Fight Night 196 Trinaldo vs. Grant: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Trinaldo (26-8-0) | Grant (11-3-0)
GRANT (+117) heads into this one with the physical attributes, now can he make them work for him? It’s worth the risk to find out.
He should be able to keep Trinaldo at a distance with that giant reach advantage, and as long as Grant avoids going to the mat he should be OK. Trinaldo has a distinct advantage if he gets the American to the canvas early.
YES (-160): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCES? is the lean here. I think Grant gets it done, but not without having to wow the judges. He’ll do just that if he can keep the fight upright and rock Trinaldo with big punches.
As such, I also like GRANT ON POINTS (+275) for the Method of Victory and a chance to earn more than two and a half times your initial stake.
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