Sadiq Khan on course to be re-elected mayor after opening up 25,000-vote lead over Shaun Bailey


adiq Khan was on Friday tonight on course to be re-elected London mayor after opening up a lead of almost 25,000 votes over Shaun Bailey.

But the contest proved far closer than had been predicted, with the often maligned Tory candidate performing strongly, especially in the suburbs.

By 930pm on Friday, seven of City Hall’s 14 constituencies had declared, with Mr Khan having received 487,104 first preference votes to 462,837 for Mr Bailey.

This is an overnight lead of 24,267 for the Labour incumbent, with counting due to resume at 8am on Saturday.

Shaun Bailey and wife Ellie: stormed the Tory suburbs

/ Getty Images

A final result is expected on Saturday evening, though there remains a possibility that the winner may not be declared until Sunday morning if the count continues to be delayed by covid precautions.

The seven constituencies declaring on Saturday are likely to be more favourable to Mr Khan, as five of these returned a Labour majority in the 2016 mayoral and London Assembly elections.

It is also almost certain that second preference votes will come into play as neither Mr Khan nor Mr Bailey looks likely to achieve 50 per cent of the vote on first preferences alone, despite predictions from pollsters at the start of the campaign that Mr Khan was set for a landslide.

This is also likely to favour Mr Khan, with many Green and Lib-Dem voters likely to have given him their second preference vote.

The first results this evening sent social media into meltdown as they suggested that Mr Bailey could be in with a chance of pulling off arguably the most dramatic mayoral result seen since the post was established in 2000.

Results from the first four constituencies put him 5,307 votes ahead of Mr Khan.

Mr Bailey achieved a thumping lead of 56,280 votes in the Tory suburban strongholds of Bexley and Bromley, polling 100,630 to 44,350 for Mr Khan.


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