Market

European stocks edge higher as government bonds come under selling pressure


The European Central Bank building in Frankfurt, Germany
The European Central Bank building in Frankfurt. Economists expect the ECB to resist a rapid reduction of its €1.85tn bond purchasing programme © AP

European equities edged higher on Wednesday, as strong financial results from luxury goods groups outweighed concerns about tighter central bank policy that propelled Germany’s benchmark bond yield above zero for the first time since 2019.

The Stoxx Europe 600 regional share index rose 0.3 per cent, after closing down 1 per cent on Tuesday as financial markets sold off in response to predictions the US central bank would raise interest rates four times this year.

The equity gauge’s weighty personal and household goods sub-index added more than 2 per cent, after Cartier owner Richemont reported a 32 per cent jump in quarterly sales because of rebounding jewellery demand and UK fashion house Burberry raised its sales forecasts.

“We expect solid earnings to help equities shrug off [monetary] policy normalisation,” Barclays’ head of European equity strategy Emmanuel Cau commented in a note to clients.

Oil and gas stocks also gained in Europe on Wednesday as Brent crude rose 1 per cent to $88.38 a barrel, its highest since October 2014, due to supply concerns and an outage at an important Turkish pipeline.

Utilities shares dropped and banks drifted lower, as higher income yields on German, UK and Italian bonds put pressure on dividend-paying stocks.

The yield on the 10-year German Bund traded at 0.007 per cent on Wednesday, rising above zero for the first time in almost three years as the price of the debt security fell.

Economists expect the European Central Bank to resist a rapid reduction of its €1.85tn bond purchasing programme that has pinned down government and household borrowing costs since March 2020 and keep its cash deposit rate negative until at least next year.

But eurozone debt and equity markets are highly interconnected with the US, where the 10-year Treasury yield has climbed from around 1.51 per cent at the end of last year to 1.88 per cent as the US Federal Reserve moves towards rate rises to combat surging inflation.

“The move up in German rates is an indirect effect of what is happening in the US because these markets are connected,” said Ewout van Schaick, head of multi-asset at European fund manager NN Investment Partners.

“But I still expect [rates] moves to be bigger in the US than they are in Europe,” he said, adding eurozone stocks might outperform Wall Street in 2022 for this reason.

The yield on the 10-year UK gilt rose 0.05 percentage points to 1.266 per cent, around its highest in three years, as data showing inflation had hit a 30-year high also made the fixed interest security less appealing.

Italy’s equivalent bond yield added 0.03 percentage points to 1.419 per cent.

Meanwhile, futures markets implied that the tumult on Wall Street ahead of the Fed’s monthly meeting next week might moderate.

Contracts that wager on the direction of S&P 500 rose 0.2 per cent after the blue-chip index closed 1.8 per cent lower on Tuesday. Those tracking the technology-heavy Nasdaq 100, which has lost almost 7 per cent so far in January, added 0.4 per cent.

In Asia, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng share index added 0.1 per cent and mainland China’s CSI 300 lost 0.7 per cent. The Nikkei 225 in Tokyo ended the session 2.8 per cent lower.

The dollar index, which measures the US currency against six others, dipped 0.2 per cent.



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