The Golden State Warriors (29-26) welcome the Denver Nuggets (38-19) to Chase Center Sunday. Tip is set for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Nuggets vs. Warriors odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Season series: Nuggets lead 3-0
The Warriors have lost to the Nuggets 3 times this season but have covered in each game. The most recent meeting was a 130-127 Nuggets road win Jan. 4 as the Over (234.5) hit. C Nikola Jokic hit a 40-foot buzzer-beating game-winner to bring Denver all the way back from an 18-point, 4th-quarter deficit.
The Warriors are 29-24-2 against the spread (ATS) this season and 8-1 ATS over their last 9. Golden State is coming off a 97-84 home victory over the Charlotte Hornets Friday, covering as a 12.5-point favorite. It has covered 3 of its last 4 at home. The Warriors are led by G Stephen Curry, who is averaging 27.8 points per game (PPG).
The Nuggets beat the Portland Trail Blazers 127-112 Friday, covering as 8-point road favorites. They have won 2 in a row after losing 3 straight. Denver is 2-3 ATS over its last 5 and 24-32-1 ATS on the season. It is 3-2 ATS over its last 5 on the road. The Nuggets are led by Jokic, who is averaging 26 PPG.
Nuggets at Warriors odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:55 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Nuggets -112 (bet $112 to win $100) | Warriors -104 (bet $104 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Nuggets -1 (-106) | Warriors +1 (-114)
- Over/Under (O/U): 230.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Nuggets at Warriors key injuries
Nuggets
- G Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (finger) questionable
- G Jamal Murray (tibia) questionable
Warriors
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Nuggets at Warriors picks and predictions
Prediction
Warriors 116, Nuggets 113
Moneyline
BET WARRIORS (-104).
It is hard to get the best of a team 4 times in a season, especially when both teams are playoff-caliber sides. The Warriors have been on fire as of late and have home wins over the Los Angeles Lakers and Phoenix Suns over their last 4 at Chase Center. They have won 8 of their last 9 and 10 of their last 12.
The Nuggets have dropped 2 of their last 3 road games, losing to the Sacramento Kings and Milwaukee Bucks before the All-Star break. Denver could be short its 2nd-leading scorer in Murray as well.
Considering how well Golden State has been playing, take WARRIORS (-104).
Against the spread
PASS.
The moneyline gives the better value here, and it is the preferred play.
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 230.5 (-110).
Neither team likes to push the pace at a high rate. The Warriors sit 12th in pace, while the Nuggets are 27th. Denver has gone Under in 4 of its last 7, scoring fewer than 100 in 2 of its last 4.
The Warriors’ success recently has been on the defensive end, going Under in 7 of their last 9 games, allowing 110 or fewer in 6 of their last 9. The total is 1-2 O/U in 3 meetings this season as well.
Take UNDER 230.5 (-110).
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