NHS COULD RUN INTO TROUBLE IF HOSPITAL ADMISSIONS CONTINUE ON ‘AN EXPONENTIAL PATH’
The NHS could “run into trouble” if the number of people being admitted to hospital with Covid continues on an “exponential path”, England’s chief medical officer has warned.
Presenting data on the Government’s four tests for lifting coronavirus restrictions, Professor Chris Whitty said rates of hospitalisation are low in all parts of the country, but there was a “rapid rise” particularly in the North West with the rest of England following.
Speaking at a Downing Street press conference, he said these numbers are “still relatively modest compared to the capacity of the NHS”, adding: “But several doubling times, a relatively small number of doubling times and you start getting to really quite large numbers.”
Prof Whitty said Covid-19 cases were increasing across the country, adding the link between people being admitted to hospital had been “substantially weakened” but “it has not been completely stopped”.He said the rates of people being admitted to hospital were following a rise in cases but with a delay.
Prof Whitty added: “So although we don’t think an immediate overwhelming of the NHS is likely, if this continues on an exponential path, and in particular if that then accelerated further due to further loosening, then we would run into trouble in a relatively small number of doubling times.”