BlackRock Downgrades U.S. Government Debt on Blue-Sweep Outlook

© Reuters.

(Bloomberg) — BlackRock Inc (NYSE:)., the world’s largest asset manager, is downgrading its views on U.S. government debt even as Treasuries retain their value as a haven amid Monday’s stock-market selloff.

Worries about rising coronavirus cases weakening the global economy pushed the S&P 500 Index toward its biggest drop in a month. Treasuries advanced, sending 10- and 30-year yields down by around 5 basis points each, to 0.80% and 1.59%, respectively.

Treasuries Gain Most in Weeks as Investor Optimism Takes a Hit

In a note released Monday by BlackRock’s research arm, strategists cited the growing likelihood of significant fiscal expansion under a unified Democratic government. Such a scenario, in which Joe Biden wins the White House and his party takes control of both chambers of Congress, would bring forward the market pricing of higher inflation, they said.

“This is why, tactically, we are downgrading nominal U.S. Treasuries and upgrading their inflation-linked peers,” said strategists Mike Pyle, Scott Thiel and Beata Harasim, along with researcher Elga Bartsch.

New York-based BlackRock oversees $7.8 trillion, $2.5 trillion of which is in fixed-income assets. It joins a growing list of major firms, which includes Credit Suisse (SIX:) Group AG and Goldman Sachs Group Inc (NYSE:)., that have weighed in during the past month with the prospects of a “blue sweep.”

BlackRock changed its view by saying the strategic case for holding nominal government bonds has diminished with yields closer to “perceived lower bounds.”

“Such low rates reduce the asset class’s ability to act as ballast against equity market selloffs,” the strategists wrote.

READ  Worried about the stock market? How to shield your 401(k) against a Trump impeachment, recession and trade war

“We prefer inflation-linked bonds as we see risks of higher inflation in the medium term,” they said. “On a tactical basis, we keep duration at neutral as unprecedented policy accommodation suppresses yields.”

Earlier this year, the firm was buying Treasuries along with other assets being purchased by the Federal Reserve as part of a “follow-the-Fed” mantra.

©2020 Bloomberg L.P.


Disclaimer: Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. All CFDs (stocks, indexes, futures) and Forex prices are not provided by exchanges but rather by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual market price, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Therefore Fusion Media doesn`t bear any responsibility for any trading losses you might incur as a result of using this data.

Fusion Media or anyone involved with Fusion Media will not accept any liability for loss or damage as a result of reliance on the information including data, quotes, charts and buy/sell signals contained within this website. Please be fully informed regarding the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, it is one of the riskiest investment forms possible.



Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here